Daily Covid-19 caseload in India that is currently around 7,500 infections is expected to increase once the Omicron starts displacing Delta as the dominant variant, informed members of the National Covid-19 Supermodel Committee and predicted the third wave in India early year.
Vidyasagar, who is also the head of the National Covid-19 Supermodel Committee, said that India will have Omicron’s third wave but it will be milder than the second wave.
Vidyasagar, who is also a professor at the Indian Institute of Technology (IIT) in Hyderabad, said that it’s unlikely that India will see more daily cases than the second wave.”It is extremely unlikely that the third wave will see more daily cases than the second wave. Please remember that the Government of India started vaccinating ordinary Indians (i.e., other than front-line workers) only starting March 1, which was just about the time that the Delta variant hit. So the Delta variant hit a population that was 100 per cent vaccine-naive, other than the frontline workers.”He further said that according to a sero-survey, a tiny fraction is left that hasn’t come into contact with delta virus. “Now we have sero-prevalence of 75 per cent to 80 per cent (prior exposure), first dose for 85 per cent of adults, both doses for 55 per cent of adults, and a “reach” for the pandemic of 95 per cent (meaning that only a tiny fraction of the public has not come into contact with the virus).”
